PT 5832 · PHL → ILM

took off 9:22 AM ET · landed 10:26 AM ET (scheduled 8:16 AM ET → 9:52 AM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ILM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,728 ft Visibility9.04 mi Precip0.35 in

ILM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5832 · PHL → ILM

Odds over time

How late did it get to ILM?