PT 5963 · MDT → PHL

took off 6:33 AM ET · landed 7:01 AM ET (scheduled 6:13 AM ET → 7:13 AM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MDT are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling960 ft Visibility7.12 mi Precip0.15 in

PHL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,728 ft Visibility9.04 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5963 · MDT → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?