QX 2026 · BET → ANC

took off 10:00 AM AKT · landed 11:00 AM AKT (scheduled 9:51 AM AKT → 11:26 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ANC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at BET that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BET (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.66667 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,320 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2026 · BET → ANC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ANC?