QX 2074 · PDX → OAK

departs 7:30 AM PT · arrives 9:25 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ PDX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,250 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2074 · PDX → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?