QX 2087 · GEG → SEA

took off 2:19 PM PT · landed 3:04 PM PT (scheduled 1:37 PM PT → 2:50 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from GEG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ GEG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling2,147 ft Visibility8.07547 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2087 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?