QX 2408 · PDX → SEA

took off 10:04 AM PT · landed 10:42 AM PT (scheduled 9:16 AM PT → 10:18 AM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling10,240 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2408 · PDX → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?