QX 2410 · SEA → GPI

took off 3:57 PM PT · landed 7:52 PM -05 (scheduled 3:32 PM PT → 8:04 PM -05)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GPI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Arrivals into GPI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling10,075 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

GPI (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2410 · SEA → GPI

Odds over time

How late did it get to GPI?