WN 1506 · SAT → DAL

departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 7:08 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8992L (B38M), coming in as WN 1206 from MSY: landed 5:06 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1506 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?