WN 1723 · OGG → LIH

departs 1:51 PM HT · arrives 3:00 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from OGG are often late

↓ OGG usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1723 · OGG → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?