Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1982
SCHEDULED
Thursday, November 5 Today
WN 1982 · SFO → DAL
departs 3:49 PM PT · arrives 9:21 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8951S (B38M), coming in as WN 2808 from SAN: still at SAN, due off about 2:37 PM PT, 3 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 59%
Mon 11/9 46%
Tue 11/10 35%
Wed 11/11 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
96%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
96%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 51 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 57%.
+10 pts
96%
Yes 96%
No 4%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 51 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 70%.
+16 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 51 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 18%.
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,523 ft Visibility 9.19149 mi Precip 0.02 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.