WN 2266 · KOA → HNL

departs 5:56 AM HT · arrives 7:00 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,337 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling10,421 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2266 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?