WN 2333 · MCO → SRQ

departs 10:41 AM ET · arrives 11:37 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2333 · MCO → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?