WN 251 · HOU → ATL

departs 5:47 PM CT · arrives 8:54 PM ET

Your aircraft is N485WN (B737).

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,436 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,085 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 251 · HOU → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?