WN 2940 · MCO → SJU

departs 10:42 AM ET · arrives 2:35 PM AT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SJU that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2940 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?