WN 3079 · MCI → SMF

took off 10:50 AM CT · landed 11:56 AM PT (scheduled 10:06 AM CT → 11:38 AM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SMF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling830 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling10,113 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3079 · MCI → SMF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SMF?