WN 3182 · MSY → TPA

took off 5:27 AM CT · landed 7:32 AM ET (scheduled 5:16 AM CT → 8:07 AM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3182 · MSY → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?