WN 3497 · SFO → BUR

departs 2:26 PM PT · arrives 3:50 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3497 · SFO → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?