WN 3554 · PIT → MCO

departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8849Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4610 from HOU: in the air, landing about 6:14 PM ET, 41 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3554 · PIT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?