WN 3568 · RSW → BWI

departs 6:49 PM ET · arrives 9:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3568 · RSW → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?