WN 3603 · RDU → BNA

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at RDU that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

BNA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3603 · RDU → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?