WN 3929 · RSW → BNA

departs 4:47 PM ET · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,131 ft Visibility9.7931 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3929 · RSW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?