WN 4103 · SRQ → CMH

departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 7:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from SRQ are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

CMH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4103 · SRQ → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?