WN 4256 · BNA → LIT

departs 8:06 AM CT · arrives 9:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,131 ft Visibility9.7931 mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4256 · BNA → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?