WN 4477 · MCI → BNA

departs 7:47 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from MCI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,425 ft Visibility9.625 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4477 · MCI → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?