tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4535 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:29 AM CT, ETA 12:53 PM ET)
Today

WN 4535 · BNA → PHL

took off 10:29 AM CT · expected to land 12:53 PM ET (scheduled 10:07 AM CT → 1:21 PM ET)
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.