WN 46 · HOU → DAL

departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,638 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 46 · HOU → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?