WN 814 · MDW → LGA

departs 5:02 AM CT · arrives 8:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MDW are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 814 · MDW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?