WN 845 · STL → MCO

took off 10:43 AM CT · landed 1:39 PM ET (scheduled 10:36 AM CT → 2:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MCO (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 845 · STL → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?