YX 4464 · BOS → LGA

departs 7:43 PM ET · arrives 9:11 PM ET

Your aircraft is N863RW (E170), coming in as YX 4724 from LGA: landed 6:59 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −37 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,433 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.03 in

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,833 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4464 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?