YX 4475 · LGA → STL

departs 6:34 AM ET · arrives 8:25 AM CT

Your aircraft is N435YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4481 from ATL: landed 9:47 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4475 · LGA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?