Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4494
IN THE AIR (OFF 8:14 PM ET, ETA 8:50 PM CT)
Today
YX 4494 · MDT → ORD
took off 8:14 PM ET · expected to land 8:50 PM CT (scheduled 7:46 PM ET → 8:57 PM CT)
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to ORD?
LIVE
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On time or early
50%
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15–30 min late
43%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
0%
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Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.