Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4498
IN THE AIR (OFF 3:28 PM ET, ETA 4:03 PM CT)
Today
YX 4498 · MDT → ORD
took off 3:28 PM ET · expected to land 4:03 PM CT (scheduled 3:09 PM ET → 4:20 PM CT)
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to ORD?
LIVE
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On time or early
94%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
0%
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Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.