Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4501
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:58 PM ET (19 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today
YX 4501 · JFK → RDU
departs 5:23 PM ET · arrives 7:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to RDU?
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On time or early
63%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
11%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.