YX 4714 · ORD → CVG

departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Your aircraft is N433YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4745 from MCI: landed 5:05 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,191 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4714 · ORD → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?