Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1504
IN THE AIR (OFF 9:44 AM MT, ETA 3:48 PM ET)
Today
AA 1504 · PHX → EWR
took off 9:44 AM MT · expected to land 3:48 PM ET (scheduled 9:30 AM MT → 4:04 PM ET)
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
1%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to EWR?
LIVE
-
On time or early
99%
-
15–30 min late
1%
-
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
-
1–2 hours late
0%
-
Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.