AA 1582 · ORD → PVD

departs 8:28 PM CT · arrives 11:52 PM ET

Your aircraft is N808NN (B738), coming in as AA 2245 from SMF: landed 7:44 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PVD (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1582 · ORD → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?