AA 1600 · PHL → CMH

took off 9:34 PM ET · landed 10:37 PM ET (scheduled 9:23 PM ET → 11:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

CMH (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1600 · PHL → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?