AA 2106 · AVL → DFW

took off 7:36 AM ET · expected to land 8:45 AM CT (scheduled 6:57 AM ET → 8:40 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
51%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2106 · AVL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?