AA 2254 · ORD → LGA

left the gate 1:10 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 11:04 AM CT → 2:18 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N917AN (B738), coming in as AA 2999 from DFW: landed 9:25 AM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LGA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2254 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?