AA 3110 · LAX → PHL

took off 12:18 AM PT · expected to land 7:55 AM ET (scheduled 12:13 AM PT → 8:35 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3110 · LAX → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?