AA 3328 · PHL → RSW

left the gate 12:21 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 12:08 PM ET → 3:10 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N830AW (A319), coming in as AA 425 from BOS: landed 11:10 AM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3328 · PHL → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?