AA 753 · MCO → LAX

departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 2:51 PM PT

Your aircraft is N190UW (A321), coming in as AA 1886 from LGA: landed 12:51 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

LAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 753 · MCO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?