AS 900 · HNL → SEA

took off 12:11 AM HT · expected to land 7:13 AM PT (scheduled 12:08 AM HT → 7:53 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from HNL are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 900 · HNL → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?