G4 2279 · AZA → BIS

departs 7:16 AM MT · arrives 11:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BIS?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BIS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BIS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2279 · AZA → BIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BIS?