Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

KOREAN AIR · FLIGHT KE 415 LANDED 3:29 PM CHST, ~9 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 6 Today

KE 415 · ICN → GUM

took off · landed 3:29 PM ChST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 415 · ICN → GUM

Odds over time