MQ 3402 · ORD → LAN

took off 1:28 PM CT · expected to land 2:59 PM ET (scheduled 1:22 PM CT → 3:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ LAN usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3402 · ORD → LAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAN?