MQ 3424 · DFW → MOB

departs 1:56 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MOB at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ MOB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MOB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3424 · DFW → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?