MQ 3549 · ORD → FWA

took off 9:32 AM CT · landed 11:05 AM ET (scheduled 8:50 AM CT → 10:51 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FWA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3549 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to FWA?