MQ 3571 · SGF → ORD

departs 5:26 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM CT

Your aircraft is N304KM (E170), coming in as MQ 3571 from ORD: in the air, landing about 4:25 PM CT, 54 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from SGF are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3571 · SGF → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?