MQ 3681 · ORD → SGF

took off 9:42 AM CT · landed 10:51 AM CT (scheduled 8:19 AM CT → 9:58 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,281 ft forecast at SGF that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3681 · ORD → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?